Senegal cuts 2026 gambling revenue forecast to US$211m
Senegal has revised its gambling revenue target as part of a wider update to expected PRES income, following weaker-than-expected collections in the first half of 2026.
Senegal.- Senegal has cut its 2026 gambling revenue forecast by FCFA180bn (US$316m), reducing expected collections from FCFA300bn (US$527m) to FCFA120bn (US$211m) as the government revises expected revenue from its Economic and Social Recovery Plan (PRES). Gambling accounts for a significant part of the downward revision, while several other PRES measures are no longer expected to generate revenue in 2026.
The draft 2026 Supplementary Finance Bill (PLFR) reduces total revenue expected from PRES measures from FCFA762.9bn (US$1.34bn) to FCFA311.5bn (US$548m). The FCFA451.4bn (US$793m) reduction represents a decline of about 59 per cent from the initial forecast, according to CNM.
Gambling was among the measures included in the initial Finance Law to support PRES revenue. The PLFR has now revised that expectation, according to SenePlus.
The revised figure is a 2026 forecast, not revenue already collected. It comes amid weaker-than-expected gambling-tax receipts in the first half of the year.
During the first six months of 2026, PRES generated FCFA140.7bn (US$247.5m) in revenue against a target of FCFA221.1bn (US$389m). Gambling taxation accounted for FCFA61.5bn (US$108m) of the wider shortfall.
Wider revenue measures revised
The first-half shortfall has already prompted plans for a gambling monitoring platform in Senegal, aimed at strengthening oversight of operators and improving revenue collection. Authorities have pointed to difficulties supervising the sector as one factor behind the earlier underperformance.
The gambling sector is not the only PRES revenue measure affected by the revised budget. The PLFR says no 2026 recovery is expected from several other measures, including mass land regularisation, the tax on gold exports, the reactivation of export duties on groundnuts and the renewal of concession agreements with telecommunications operators.
Tax revenue is now expected to come in at FCFA4,931.5bn (US$8.67bn), compared with FCFA5,384.8bn (US$9.46bn) in the original budget. The revised figure is FCFA453.3bn (US$797m) lower.
The government now expects total state revenue of FCFA5,848.7bn (US$10.28bn), down from FCFA6,188.8bn (US$10.88bn) in the original 2026 budget.
