{"id":777046286,"date":"2026-08-18T07:31:13","date_gmt":"2026-08-18T10:31:13","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/focusgn.com\/asia-pacific\/?p=777046286"},"modified":"2026-08-18T07:35:50","modified_gmt":"2026-08-18T10:35:50","slug":"citi-cuts-macau-august-ggr-forecast-to-4-growth","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/focusgn.com\/asia-pacific\/citi-cuts-macau-august-ggr-forecast-to-4-growth","title":{"rendered":"Citi cuts Macau August GGR forecast"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The brokerage has lowered its August forecast after Macau\u2019s daily gaming revenue run rate eased in the second week.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<!--more-->\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Macau.- <strong>Citigroup<\/strong> has cut its forecast for Macau\u2019s August gross gaming revenue (GGR) to MOP23bn (US$2.86bn). It reduced its its <a href=\"https:\/\/focusgn.com\/asia-pacific\/macau-ggr-run-rate-rises-12-in-early-august-citi-says\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">previous estimate<\/a> of MOP23.5bn (US$2.92bn), after the market\u2019s daily run rate softened in the second week of the month.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The revised forecast represents 4 per cent year-on-year growth, down from Citigroup\u2019s previous projection of 6 per cent. The adjustment follows an estimated MOP11.65bn (US$1.45bn) in GGR generated during the first 16 days of August, according to industry sources cited by Citigroup analysts <strong>George Choi and Timothy Chau<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Macau\u2019s <strong>average daily GGR<\/strong> was approximately MOP721m (US$89.6m) between August 10 and 16, slightly below the MOP733m (US$91.1m) daily run rate recorded during the first nine days of the month. Despite the slowdown, the second-week run rate remained above the MOP715m (US$88.9m) daily average recorded in August 2025.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Citigroup estimates that<strong> VIP gaming volume<\/strong> increased between 12 and 15 per cent month-on-month, while mass-market GGR rose by 9 to 10 per cent. However, the brokerage noted that the VIP hold rate appeared to have declined in the second week compared with the first nine days of August. This contributed to the softer daily GGR run rate.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><br><\/p>\n\n\n<div id=\"see-also-container\">\n\t\t\t<span class=\"see-also-label\">See also:<\/span><\/p>\n<div class=\"related-article\">\n\t\t\t\t<img decoding=\"async\" class=\"related-article__thumbnail\" src=\"https:\/\/focusgn.com\/asia-pacific\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/5\/2021\/04\/Where-to-gamble-in-Asia-best-gambling-destinations-to-visit-300x200.jpg\" alt=\"\"><\/p>\n<p class=\"related-article__text\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"see-also-label-strong\">See also:<\/span> <a href=\"https:\/\/focusgn.com\/asia-pacific\/macau-ggr-run-rate-rises-12-in-early-august-citi-says\">Macau GGR run rate rises 12% in early August, Citi says<\/a>\n\t\t\t\t<\/p>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<\/p><\/div>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The brokerage has lowered its August forecast after Macau\u2019s daily gaming revenue run rate eased in the second week.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":226,"featured_media":777046290,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"is_press_release":false,"is_interview":false,"is_opinion":false,"focusai_summary":"Citigroup has lowered its August Gross Gaming Revenue (GGR) forecast for Macau to MOP23bn (US$2.86bn) from MOP23.5bn, citing a softened daily gaming revenue run rate in the second week of the month. This adjustment reflects a revised year-on-year growth projection of 4 per cent, down from 6 per cent, despite month-on-month increases in both VIP gaming volume and mass-market GGR, primarily due to a decline in the VIP hold rate.","focusai_entities":"Citigroup, George Choi, Timothy Chau","focusai_location":"Macau","focusai_target_profile":"ceo_executive (0.9), regulator (0.7), operator_casino (1.0), marketing_crm (0.7), investor_analyst (1.0), supplier_vendor (0.7), journalist_researcher (0.9)","focusai_suggestions":[{"label":"Macau GGR Outlook","query":"What specific factors beyond the VIP hold rate decline are contributing to the softened daily GGR run rate in Macau, and how might these impact Q3 earnings for integrated resort operators?"},{"label":"VIP vs. Mass Dynamics","query":"Given the reported increase in VIP gaming volume but a decline in hold rate, what are the underlying drivers of this divergence, and what are the implications for operator profitability and segment strategy in Macau?"}],"footnotes":""},"categories":[16338,163],"tags":[29,257],"class_list":["post-777046286","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-east-asia-news","category-finance-news","tag-casino","tag-macau"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/focusgn.com\/asia-pacific\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/777046286","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/focusgn.com\/asia-pacific\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/focusgn.com\/asia-pacific\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/focusgn.com\/asia-pacific\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/226"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/focusgn.com\/asia-pacific\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=777046286"}],"version-history":[{"count":4,"href":"https:\/\/focusgn.com\/asia-pacific\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/777046286\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":777046292,"href":"https:\/\/focusgn.com\/asia-pacific\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/777046286\/revisions\/777046292"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/focusgn.com\/asia-pacific\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/777046290"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/focusgn.com\/asia-pacific\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=777046286"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/focusgn.com\/asia-pacific\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=777046286"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/focusgn.com\/asia-pacific\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=777046286"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}