{"id":777035991,"date":"2025-12-12T08:05:36","date_gmt":"2025-12-12T11:05:36","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/focusgn.com\/asia-pacific\/?p=777035991"},"modified":"2026-04-21T16:03:04","modified_gmt":"2026-04-21T19:03:04","slug":"citigroup-expects-macau-ggr-to-rise-6-in-2026","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/focusgn.com\/asia-pacific\/citigroup-expects-macau-ggr-to-rise-6-in-2026","title":{"rendered":"Citigroup expects Macau GGR to rise 6% in 2026"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>Analysts expect concerts to continue to drive growth in visitation and premium players.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<!--more-->\n\n\n\n<p>Macau.- Analysts at <strong>Citigroup <\/strong>have predicted that Macau\u2019s gross gaming revenue (GGR) could grow <strong>6 per cent next year<\/strong>. The banking group predicted that the rise will be driven by big-name concerts, the addition of new luxury hotel suites and new baccarat side bets.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Citigroup expects Macau GGR to reach <strong>MOP263.5bn (US$33bn)<\/strong>, which would be about 90 per cent of the 2019 total. It predicts that earnings before interest, taxation, depreciation, and amortisation (EBITDA) will grow by 10 per cent while EBITDA margins remain flat at circa 29 per cent.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Analysts<strong> George Choi and Timothy Chau<\/strong> wrote: \u201cWith an illustrious concert calendar, luxurious new hotel suite supply and new baccarat side bets, we believe Macau will remain the top travel destination for the affluent mainland Chinese visitors who seek a total experience.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>They added: \u201cWe expect <strong>concerts to drive growth in visitation and premium players\u2019 per-capita spending<\/strong> (as they need to check-in cash to the casinos to secure hot concert tickets), new hotel suites to increase average length of stay, and the increasing popularity in new side bets to further boost hold rates.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Q4 GGR will be up by 17 per cent, Morgan Stanley says<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Analysts at Morgan Stanley have predicted that Macau GGR for the fourth quarter of the current year will be up by <strong>17 per cent<\/strong> in year-on-year terms and 6 per cent compared to the previous quarter. They forecast that property earnings before interest, depreciation, and amortisation (EBITDA) will be up 15.2 per cent year-on-year and 5.9 per cent sequentially to US$2.25bn.\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Analysts <strong>Praveen Choudhary<\/strong> and <strong>Anson Lee<\/strong> wrote that despite \u201chigh\u201d operating expenditure in October-November, there could be some margin improvement. They see MGM China and Galaxy Entertainment as particularly strong, anticipating that fourth-quarter results will cause the market to revise earnings forecasts upwards.<br><\/p>\n\n\n<div id=\"see-also-container\">\n\t\t\t<span class=\"see-also-label\">See also:<\/span><\/p>\n<div class=\"related-article\">\n\t\t\t\t<img decoding=\"async\" class=\"related-article__thumbnail\" src=\"https:\/\/focusgn.com\/asia-pacific\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/5\/2021\/12\/1638455046Wynn-Resorts-CEO-remains-optimistic-about-Macau-gaming-law-changes-300x200.jpg\" alt=\"\"><\/p>\n<p class=\"related-article__text\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"see-also-label-strong\">See also:<\/span> <a href='https:\/\/focusgn.com\/asia-pacific\/macaus-november-ggr-rises-14-4-year-on-year'>Macau&#8217;s November GGR rises 14.4% year-on-year<\/a>\n\t\t\t\t<\/p>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<\/p><\/div>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Analysts expect concerts to continue to drive growth in visitation and premium players.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":226,"featured_media":777035994,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"is_press_release":false,"is_interview":false,"is_opinion":false,"focusai_summary":"Analysts from Citigroup and Morgan Stanley project significant growth for Macau's Gross Gaming Revenue (GGR) in Q4 and the coming year, driven by high-profile concerts, luxury hotel expansions, and new baccarat side bets. Citigroup forecasts a 6% GGR increase for next year, reaching 90% of 2019 levels, while Morgan Stanley anticipates a 17% Q4 GGR rise, leading to potential upward revisions of operator earnings forecasts, particularly for MGM China and Galaxy Entertainment.","focusai_entities":"Citigroup, Morgan Stanley, George Choi, Timothy Chau, Praveen Choudhary, Anson Lee, MGM China, Galaxy Entertainment","focusai_location":"Macau, China","focusai_target_profile":"ceo_executive (0.95), regulator (0.7), operator_casino (0.98), product_ux (0.75), marketing_crm (0.9), investor_analyst (0.99), supplier_vendor (0.7), journalist_researcher (0.95)","focusai_suggestions":[{"label":"Macau GGR Drivers?","query":"What specific non-gaming and gaming initiatives are Macau operators prioritizing to sustain GGR growth beyond 2024, and how do these align with regulatory expectations for diversification?"},{"label":"Operator Performance Impact?","query":"How might the projected GGR and EBITDA growth translate into revised capital expenditure plans or dividend policies for leading Macau concessionaires like MGM China and Galaxy Entertainment?"}],"footnotes":""},"categories":[28,16338],"tags":[227,25052,23906],"class_list":["post-777035991","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-casino-news","category-east-asia-news","tag-china","tag-concerts","tag-macau-casinos"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/focusgn.com\/asia-pacific\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/777035991","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/focusgn.com\/asia-pacific\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/focusgn.com\/asia-pacific\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/focusgn.com\/asia-pacific\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/226"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/focusgn.com\/asia-pacific\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=777035991"}],"version-history":[{"count":3,"href":"https:\/\/focusgn.com\/asia-pacific\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/777035991\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":777036013,"href":"https:\/\/focusgn.com\/asia-pacific\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/777035991\/revisions\/777036013"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/focusgn.com\/asia-pacific\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/777035994"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/focusgn.com\/asia-pacific\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=777035991"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/focusgn.com\/asia-pacific\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=777035991"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/focusgn.com\/asia-pacific\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=777035991"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}