{"id":777030394,"date":"2025-08-15T07:55:40","date_gmt":"2025-08-15T10:55:40","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/focusgn.com\/asia-pacific\/?p=777030394"},"modified":"2026-04-21T20:05:24","modified_gmt":"2026-04-21T23:05:24","slug":"jp-morgan-raises-macau-ggr-forecast-for-h2","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/focusgn.com\/asia-pacific\/jp-morgan-raises-macau-ggr-forecast-for-h2","title":{"rendered":"JP Morgan raises Macau GGR forecast for H2"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>GGR could be up 13 per cent in the second half of 2025.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<!--more-->\n\n\n\n<p>Macau.- Analysts at <strong>JP Morgan Securities (Asia Pacific)<\/strong> have predicted that Macau\u2019s gross gaming revenue (GGR) could grow <strong>13 per cent year-on-year in the second half of 2025<\/strong>. That would represents an increase from the 4 per cent growth recorded in H1 2025. It&#8217;s the third time in three months that the firm had upgraded its forecast for <a href=\"https:\/\/focusgn.com\/asia-pacific\/in-july-macau-ggr-reaches-highest-monthly-total-since-the-pandemic\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Macau&#8217;s gaming industry<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>According to analysts<strong> DS Kim<\/strong> and <strong>Selina Li<\/strong> said: \u201cWe have seen similar green-shoots emerging recently across HK retail, Swiss watch exports, and mainland luxury malls,\u201d the two analysts wrote, suggesting that affluent consumers appeared to have started spending again. The Chinese yuan&#8217;s currency advantage was also cited as a contributing factor along with high-profile concerts and events.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The report highlights that mass and slot play remains the primary growth driver, accounting for over 80 per cent of sequential GGR gains Q2. The bank forecasts <strong>12 per cent EBITDA growth<\/strong> in the third quarter and 16 per cent in the fourth quarter.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Last month, <strong>Seaport Research Partners<\/strong>\u00a0forecast that Macau\u2019s gross gaming revenue (GGR) could <a href=\"https:\/\/focusgn.com\/asia-pacific\/seaport-raises-macau-ggr-forecast-for-second-half-of-2025\" data-type=\"link\" data-id=\"https:\/\/focusgn.com\/asia-pacific\/seaport-raises-macau-ggr-forecast-for-second-half-of-2025\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">rise by 9 per cent year-on-year<\/a> in the second half. Macau GGR grew by 4.4 per cent year-on-year to MOP118.8bn (US$14.7bn) in the\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/focusgn.com\/asia-pacific\/macau-gaming-tax-revenue-slightly-up-in-first-half-of-the-year\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">first half of 2025<\/a>. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><br><\/p>\n\n\n<div id=\"see-also-container\">\n\t\t\t<span class=\"see-also-label\">See also:<\/span><\/p>\n<div class=\"related-article\">\n\t\t\t\t<img decoding=\"async\" class=\"related-article__thumbnail\" src=\"https:\/\/focusgn.com\/asia-pacific\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/5\/2021\/12\/163949224816388858421637591606macau-ggr-300x200.jpeg\" alt=\"\"><\/p>\n<p class=\"related-article__text\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"see-also-label-strong\">See also:<\/span> <a href='https:\/\/focusgn.com\/asia-pacific\/seaport-raises-macau-ggr-forecast-for-second-half-of-2025'>Seaport raises Macau GGR forecast for second half of 2025<\/a>\n\t\t\t\t<\/p>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<\/p><\/div>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>GGR could be up 13 per cent in the second half of 2025.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":226,"featured_media":777030397,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"is_press_release":false,"is_interview":false,"is_opinion":false,"focusai_summary":"JP Morgan Securities (Asia Pacific) has upgraded its Macau GGR forecast for the second half of 2025 to 13% year-on-year growth, citing renewed spending by affluent consumers, the Chinese yuan's advantage, and high-profile events. Mass and slot play remain the primary growth drivers, contributing over 80% of sequential GGR gains in Q2, with the bank also projecting significant EBITDA growth for Q3 and Q4. This follows a similar positive forecast from Seaport Research Partners.","focusai_entities":"JP Morgan Securities (Asia Pacific), DS Kim, Selina Li, Seaport Research Partners","focusai_location":"Macau, Hong Kong, Switzerland, China","focusai_target_profile":"ceo_executive (1.0), regulator (0.7), operator_casino (1.0), marketing_crm (0.8), investor_analyst (1.0), supplier_vendor (0.7), journalist_researcher (1.0)","focusai_suggestions":[{"label":"Macau GGR Drivers","query":"What specific operational or marketing strategies are Macau operators implementing to capitalize on the identified growth drivers of mass and slot play, affluent consumer spending, and high-profile events?"},{"label":"Forecast Discrepancy Analysis","query":"How do JP Morgan's and Seaport Research Partners' GGR growth forecasts for H2 2025 differ, and what are the key assumptions or methodologies contributing to these variations?"}],"footnotes":""},"categories":[16338,163],"tags":[12436,24619,24864,257],"class_list":["post-777030394","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-east-asia-news","category-finance-news","tag-casinos","tag-finance","tag-jp-morgan","tag-macau"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/focusgn.com\/asia-pacific\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/777030394","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/focusgn.com\/asia-pacific\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/focusgn.com\/asia-pacific\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/focusgn.com\/asia-pacific\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/226"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/focusgn.com\/asia-pacific\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=777030394"}],"version-history":[{"count":3,"href":"https:\/\/focusgn.com\/asia-pacific\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/777030394\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":777030423,"href":"https:\/\/focusgn.com\/asia-pacific\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/777030394\/revisions\/777030423"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/focusgn.com\/asia-pacific\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/777030397"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/focusgn.com\/asia-pacific\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=777030394"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/focusgn.com\/asia-pacific\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=777030394"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/focusgn.com\/asia-pacific\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=777030394"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}