{"id":777027298,"date":"2025-06-04T09:18:42","date_gmt":"2025-06-04T12:18:42","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/focusgn.com\/asia-pacific\/?p=777027298"},"modified":"2026-04-21T22:16:36","modified_gmt":"2026-04-22T01:16:36","slug":"macau-government-lowers-ggr-forecast-for-2025","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/focusgn.com\/asia-pacific\/macau-government-lowers-ggr-forecast-for-2025","title":{"rendered":"Macau government lowers GGR forecast for 2025"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>The government now expects GGR for 2025 to reach MOP228bn (US$ 28.3bn).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<!--more-->\n\n\n\n<p>Macau.-&nbsp;The Macau government has lowered its gross gaming revenue (GGR) forecast for this year by 5 per cent, from <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/focusgn.com\/asia-pacific\/gaming-in-macau-government-forecasts-29-7bn-in-revenue-for-2025\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">MOP240bn (US$ 29.8bn)<\/a> to MOP 228bn (US$ 28.3bn). <strong>Andr\u00e9 Cheong Weng Chon<\/strong>, the city&#8217;s secretary for administration and justice, made the announcement after the Executive Council reviewed the government&#8217;s amended budget plan for 2025.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Ho In Mui<\/strong>, the deputy director of the financial services bureau, said the revised budget was based on consideration of many factors, including global economic uncertainties, changes in visitor spending habits and figures for the year to date. The revised budget plan for 2025 will be presented to the city\u2019s Legislative Assembly for discussion.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>From January to April this year, Macau saw average gaming revenue of MOP19bn per month, which is lower than the MOP20bn the government had predicted. She said: &#8220;After observing our fiscal income status in the first half of this year, we now assume that if we are reaching MOP19bn in GGR a month, or MOP228bn for the full year, that would make a balanced budget for the Macau SAR.&#8221;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>In May, GGR was\u00a0MOP21.19bn (US$2.62bn). That\u2019s an increase of 1.7 per cent\u00a0from\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/focusgn.com\/asia-pacific\/macau-ggr-up-29-7-in-may\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">May 2024<\/a>\u00a0and 12.4\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/focusgn.com\/asia-pacific\/macau-ggr-rises-year-over-year-in-april\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">month-on-month<\/a>. It was the city\u2019s best monthly performance post-Covid-19. Cumulatively,\u00a0<strong>Macau\u2019s GGR for the first five months of 2025\u00a0<\/strong>was MOP97.7bn (US$12.1bn), up 1.7 per cent year-on-year. The figure was 77 per cent of the same period of 2019 (MOP125.6bn) (US$5.5bn).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>In April, <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/focusgn.com\/asia-pacific\/imf-lowers-macau-gdp-forecast-for-2025\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">the International Monetary Fund<\/a> (IMF) lowered its growth forecast for Macau\u2019s gross domestic product (GDP) for this year&nbsp;from 7.3 per cent&nbsp;to 3.6 per cent. For 2026, the IMF has adjusted its projection to 3.5 per cent. In its latest World Economic Outlook report, the IMF&nbsp;also cut its global growth forecast for 2025 by 0.5 points to 2.8 per cent.<\/p>\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\">\n<figure class=\"aligncenter size-large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"900\" height=\"600\" src=\"https:\/\/focusgn.com\/asia-pacific\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/5\/2025\/06\/image_1743102124_uYqyx13p-900x600.jpg\" alt=\"Andr\u00e9 Cheong Weng Chon.\" class=\"wp-image-777027300\" srcset=\"https:\/\/focusgn.com\/asia-pacific\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/5\/2025\/06\/image_1743102124_uYqyx13p-900x600.jpg 900w, https:\/\/focusgn.com\/asia-pacific\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/5\/2025\/06\/image_1743102124_uYqyx13p-600x400.jpg 600w, https:\/\/focusgn.com\/asia-pacific\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/5\/2025\/06\/image_1743102124_uYqyx13p-300x200.jpg 300w, https:\/\/focusgn.com\/asia-pacific\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/5\/2025\/06\/image_1743102124_uYqyx13p.jpg 907w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 900px) 100vw, 900px\" \/><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">Andr\u00e9 Cheong Weng Chon.<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Seaport Research Partners predicts dip in Macau GGR for June<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Seaport Research Partners<\/strong>&nbsp;forecast that Macau&#8217;s GGR could fall by 13.7 per cent sequentially in June. That would be slightly worse than the average historical monthly decline. Analysts expect the figure to be up by 3.4 per cent&nbsp;<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/focusgn.com\/asia-pacific\/macau-ggr-up-16-4-year-on-year-in-june\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">year-on-year<\/a>&nbsp;but note that the UEFA Euro Cup could have had a negative impact on GGR during June last year.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Vitaly Umansky<\/strong> said that although GGR has seen improvements in previous months, it relies on a rebound in consumer confidence in China and the base mass segment. Umansky noted that there will be several large concerts in June and the first two days of the month saw the Dragon Boat Festival Holiday.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Umansky added that while the current estimate is conservative, GGR might drop if the typhoon season disrupts travel to Macau.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Seaport expects GGR to grow by 4 per cent in 2025, with the second half of the year likely to outperform the first. Growth is expected to be driven by increased marketing from casino operators and improvements in consumer sentiment, prompted by government stimulus in China.<\/p>\n\n\n<div id=\"see-also-container\">\n\t\t\t<span class=\"see-also-label\">See also:<\/span><\/p>\n<div class=\"related-article\">\n\t\t\t\t<img decoding=\"async\" class=\"related-article__thumbnail\" src=\"https:\/\/focusgn.com\/asia-pacific\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/5\/2025\/04\/Visitors-Macau-300x200.jpeg\" alt=\"\"><\/p>\n<p class=\"related-article__text\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"see-also-label-strong\">See also:<\/span> <a href='https:\/\/focusgn.com\/asia-pacific\/macau-ggr-per-visitor-will-be-down-by-6-6-in-2025-analysts-say'>Macau GGR per visitor will be down by 6.6% in 2025, analysts say<\/a>\n\t\t\t\t<\/p>\n<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The government now expects GGR for 2025 to reach MOP228bn (US$ 28.3bn).<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":176,"featured_media":21858,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"is_press_release":false,"is_interview":false,"is_opinion":false,"focusai_summary":"The Macau government has lowered its 2025 Gross Gaming Revenue (GGR) forecast by 5% to MOP228bn (US$28.3bn), citing global economic uncertainties and shifts in visitor spending habits. This revision follows year-to-date GGR figures falling below initial predictions, despite a strong May performance. Analysts from Seaport Research Partners anticipate a sequential dip in June but project overall 4% GGR growth for 2025, driven by increased marketing and potential government stimulus in China.","focusai_entities":"Macau government, Andr\u00e9 Cheong Weng Chon, Ho In Mui, Executive Council, Legislative Assembly, International Monetary Fund, Seaport Research Partners, Vitaly Umansky","focusai_location":"Macau, China","focusai_target_profile":"ceo_executive (1.0), regulator (1.0), compliance_legal (0.7), operator_casino (1.0), marketing_crm (0.8), investor_analyst (1.0), supplier_vendor (0.9), journalist_researcher (1.0)","focusai_suggestions":[{"label":"China Stimulus Impact?","query":"What specific government stimulus measures in China are anticipated to drive consumer sentiment and Macau GGR in H2 2025, and what is their projected impact on the base mass segment?"},{"label":"Concessionaire Capital Strategy?","query":"How might the revised GGR forecast influence the capital expenditure commitments and dividend distribution strategies of Macau's integrated resort concessionaires?"}],"footnotes":""},"categories":[16338,163],"tags":[24619,23908,23906],"class_list":["post-777027298","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-east-asia-news","category-finance-news","tag-finance","tag-gaming-regulation","tag-macau-casinos"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/focusgn.com\/asia-pacific\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/777027298","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/focusgn.com\/asia-pacific\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/focusgn.com\/asia-pacific\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/focusgn.com\/asia-pacific\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/176"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/focusgn.com\/asia-pacific\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=777027298"}],"version-history":[{"count":3,"href":"https:\/\/focusgn.com\/asia-pacific\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/777027298\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":777027331,"href":"https:\/\/focusgn.com\/asia-pacific\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/777027298\/revisions\/777027331"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/focusgn.com\/asia-pacific\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/21858"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/focusgn.com\/asia-pacific\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=777027298"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/focusgn.com\/asia-pacific\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=777027298"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/focusgn.com\/asia-pacific\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=777027298"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}