{"id":777001559,"date":"2023-01-17T06:46:33","date_gmt":"2023-01-17T09:46:33","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/focusgn.com\/asia-pacific\/?p=777001559"},"modified":"2026-04-23T01:30:24","modified_gmt":"2026-04-23T04:30:24","slug":"macau-ggr-for-january-might-perform-better-than-expected-analysts-say","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/focusgn.com\/asia-pacific\/macau-ggr-for-january-might-perform-better-than-expected-analysts-say","title":{"rendered":"Macau GGR for January might perform better than expected, analysts say"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>Brokerage Morgan Stanley has revised its predictions for Macau\u2019s daily average gross gaming revenue for January.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<!--more-->\n\n\n\n<p>Macau.- Morgan Stanley has predicted that<strong>&nbsp;Macau\u2019s daily average gross gaming revenue (GGR) for January&nbsp;<\/strong>might perform better than expected and increased its forecast from MOP200m (US$24.8m) to MOP250m (US$31m) arguing that recent minimum bets placed in local casinos were higher than expectations.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Based on the adjusted GGR estimate,<strong> the increase from month-to-month stands at 123 per cent<\/strong>, representing 31 per cent of January 2019&#8217;s level, with 85 per cent being mass market.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Analysts also pointed out that table minimum bets were generally around MOP2,000 in Cotai and, in casinos on the Macau Peninsula, MOP500.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The numbers topped Morgan Stanley&#8217;s expectations due to low utilization rates, which analysts believe will help boost earnings, tables and daily productivity figures for the second half of the year.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>According to the brokerage,<strong>&nbsp;traffic on the casino floor is between 35 per cent and 45 per cent of 2018\/2019 levels<\/strong>. Analysts also added travel between Hong Kong and Macau is similar to pre-pandemic levels, but ferry and bus frequencies could multiply.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>In 2019, Macau implemented high-speed stations and added<strong>&nbsp;15 per cent casino rooms<\/strong>, expanded capacity at various immigration channels, and enlarged capacity at different immigration channels. According to analysts, this will enable Macau to support much higher visitor numbers in the future.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The brokerage also stated this could help the city generate higher mass revenue if spending per capita is to be kept, and added that minimum bets on many casino tables had not been reduced, which should support more elevated table productivity.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>According to data released by the&nbsp;<strong>Gaming Inspection and Coordination Bureau (DICJ)<\/strong>,&nbsp;<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/focusgn.com\/asia-pacific\/macau-gaming-revenue-down-51-in-2022\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">for full-year 2022<\/a>, Macau\u2019s casino GGR&nbsp;<strong>decreased by 51.4 per cent<\/strong>&nbsp;compared with 2021 to MOP42.19bn (US$5.25bn). That\u2019s just 14 per cent of pre-pandemic 2019 and the lowest yearly figure since 2004.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Macau CE forecast GGR of US$16bn for 2023<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>As previously reported by Focus Gaming News,&nbsp;<strong>Macau Chief Executive Ho Iat Seng<\/strong>&nbsp;said that the government will maintain its 2023 gross gaming revenue forecast of&nbsp;<strong>MOP130bn (US$16bn)<\/strong>, noting that in order for the city to recover economically it will need to bring in at least&nbsp;<strong>MOP10bn (US$1.24bn) per month<\/strong>.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u201cFor now the budget remains unchanged, but it is a figure that we all need to work hard together to achieve,\u201d Ho told the media before attending a government banquet in celebration of the forthcoming Lunar New Year. The government initially estimated GGR for 2023 at MOP130bn when announcing its budget in November.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>He added they have to observe how the situation will play out after travel among mainland China, Hong Kong, Taiwan, and Macau&nbsp;<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/focusgn.com\/asia-pacific\/macau-eases-covid-19-restrictions\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">resumed<\/a>.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Brokerage Morgan Stanley has revised its predictions for Macau\u2019s daily average gross gaming revenue for January.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":176,"featured_media":25621,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"is_press_release":false,"is_interview":false,"is_opinion":false,"focusai_summary":"Morgan Stanley has revised its January daily average Gross Gaming Revenue (GGR) forecast for Macau upwards to MOP250m, citing higher-than-expected minimum bets and robust mass market performance. This positive adjustment, coupled with improved travel connectivity and infrastructure, signals a potentially stronger recovery trajectory for Macau's gaming sector, despite 2022 GGR being the lowest since 2004. Macau's Chief Executive maintains a MOP130bn GGR target for 2023, emphasizing the necessity of sustained monthly revenue generation.","focusai_entities":"Morgan Stanley, Gaming Inspection and Coordination Bureau (DICJ), Ho Iat Seng","focusai_location":"Macau, Hong Kong, Cotai, Macau Peninsula, China, Taiwan","focusai_target_profile":"ceo_executive (0.95), regulator (0.75), operator_casino (0.98), investor_analyst (0.98), supplier_vendor (0.7), journalist_researcher (0.9)","focusai_suggestions":[{"label":"Macau GGR Outlook","query":"Given the revised January GGR forecast and the Macau CE's 2023 target, what are the key upside and downside risks to achieving the MOP130bn annual GGR, particularly concerning mainland China's economic recovery and potential policy shifts?"},{"label":"Mass Market Impact","query":"How will the observed higher minimum bets and strong mass market performance influence operators' capital expenditure and strategic focus on non-gaming amenities versus traditional VIP segments in Macau?"}],"footnotes":""},"categories":[157,16338,158],"tags":[23906],"class_list":["post-777001559","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-business-news","category-east-asia-news","category-slider-home","tag-macau-casinos"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/focusgn.com\/asia-pacific\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/777001559","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/focusgn.com\/asia-pacific\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/focusgn.com\/asia-pacific\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/focusgn.com\/asia-pacific\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/176"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/focusgn.com\/asia-pacific\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=777001559"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/focusgn.com\/asia-pacific\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/777001559\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":777001560,"href":"https:\/\/focusgn.com\/asia-pacific\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/777001559\/revisions\/777001560"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/focusgn.com\/asia-pacific\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/25621"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/focusgn.com\/asia-pacific\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=777001559"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/focusgn.com\/asia-pacific\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=777001559"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/focusgn.com\/asia-pacific\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=777001559"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}