{"id":30892,"date":"2022-06-17T05:57:18","date_gmt":"2022-06-17T08:57:18","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/focusgn.com\/asia-pacific\/?p=30892"},"modified":"2026-04-23T07:40:53","modified_gmt":"2026-04-23T10:40:53","slug":"fitch-predicts-macau-ggr-may-reach-only-27-of-2019-levels-this-year","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/focusgn.com\/asia-pacific\/fitch-predicts-macau-ggr-may-reach-only-27-of-2019-levels-this-year","title":{"rendered":"Fitch predicts Macau GGR may reach only 27% of 2019 levels this year"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>Analysts have lowered their expectations because Macau is still affected by restrictions linked to the Covid-19 pandemic.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<!--more-->\n\n\n\n<p>Macau.- Analysts at Fitch have lowered their forecast for Macau&#8217;s <strong>gross gaming revenue<\/strong> this year. They say GGR may <strong>reach just 27 per cent of pre-pandemic levels<\/strong>&nbsp;mainly due to continuous restrictions linked to the Covid-19 pandemic. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Analysts said: &#8220;We have updated Macau\u2019s gross gaming revenue recovery curve to reflect our performance forecasts for 2022 to 2024 compared with 2019 levels at -73 per cent, -50 per cent and -30 per cent, respectively.&#8221;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Macau has said it will amend its <a rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" href=\"https:\/\/focusgn.com\/asia-pacific\/macau-to-revise-ggr-forecast-for-2022\" target=\"_blank\">gross gaming revenue (GGR) forecast<\/a>&nbsp;as part of an amendment to Macau&#8217;s 2022 fiscal budget plan<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>In May,&nbsp;<strong>the Gaming Inspection and Coordination Bureau<\/strong>&nbsp;reported that&nbsp;<a rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" href=\"https:\/\/focusgn.com\/asia-pacific\/macau-ggr-up-24-8-in-may\" target=\"_blank\">Macau\u2019s gross gaming revenue in May<\/a>&nbsp;was up 2.8 per cent&nbsp;<a rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" href=\"https:\/\/focusgn.com\/asia-pacific\/macau-ggr-at-lowest-level-since-september-2020\" target=\"_blank\">when compared to April<\/a>. However, Macau\u2019s GGR for the&nbsp;<strong>first five months of 2022&nbsp;<\/strong>combined stands at MOP23.79bn (US$2.95bn), down 44 per cent year-on-year.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Despite the ongoing economic impact, Macau\u2019s chief executive<strong>&nbsp;Ho Iat Seng<\/strong>&nbsp;said that Covid-19 countermeasures will only be eased in late summer if the risk of contagion is considered \u201cmoderate\u201d.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Mainland China continues to be the only country to have a&nbsp;<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/focusgn.com\/asia-pacific\/covid-19-vaccine-passports-could-speed-up-macau-tourism-recovery\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">largely quarantine-free travel bubble<\/a>&nbsp;with Macau.&nbsp;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Analysts have lowered their expectations because Macau is still affected by restrictions linked to the Covid-19 pandemic.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":176,"featured_media":22524,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"is_press_release":false,"is_interview":false,"is_opinion":false,"focusai_summary":"Fitch has downgraded Macau's gross gaming revenue (GGR) forecast for 2022-2024, projecting recovery to only 27% of pre-pandemic levels this year due to persistent COVID-19 restrictions. Despite a marginal month-on-month GGR increase in May, year-to-date figures remain significantly down, prompting Macau to amend its 2022 fiscal budget plan. Easing of countermeasures is contingent on a 'moderate' contagion risk, with Mainland China remaining the sole quarantine-free travel bubble.","focusai_entities":"Fitch, Gaming Inspection and Coordination Bureau, Ho Iat Seng","focusai_location":"Macau, China","focusai_target_profile":"ceo_executive (0.9), regulator (0.8), operator_casino (0.9), investor_analyst (1.0), supplier_vendor (0.7), journalist_researcher (0.9)","focusai_suggestions":[{"label":"Macau GGR Outlook","query":"What specific policy levers or regulatory adjustments could Macau's government implement to mitigate the economic impact of prolonged GGR underperformance?"},{"label":"Operator Financial Impact","query":"How will the revised GGR forecasts impact the capital expenditure plans and debt servicing capabilities of the major concessionaires operating in Macau?"}],"footnotes":""},"categories":[157,16338],"tags":[23906],"class_list":["post-30892","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-business-news","category-east-asia-news","tag-macau-casinos"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/focusgn.com\/asia-pacific\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/30892","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/focusgn.com\/asia-pacific\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/focusgn.com\/asia-pacific\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/focusgn.com\/asia-pacific\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/176"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/focusgn.com\/asia-pacific\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=30892"}],"version-history":[{"count":5,"href":"https:\/\/focusgn.com\/asia-pacific\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/30892\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":30916,"href":"https:\/\/focusgn.com\/asia-pacific\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/30892\/revisions\/30916"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/focusgn.com\/asia-pacific\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/22524"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/focusgn.com\/asia-pacific\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=30892"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/focusgn.com\/asia-pacific\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=30892"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/focusgn.com\/asia-pacific\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=30892"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}