{"id":18163,"date":"2021-05-21T16:31:37","date_gmt":"2021-05-21T16:31:37","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/focusgn.com\/asia-pacific\/?p=18163"},"modified":"2026-04-23T19:19:28","modified_gmt":"2026-04-23T22:19:28","slug":"macaus-economy-to-rebound-by-2024-analysts-say","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/focusgn.com\/asia-pacific\/macaus-economy-to-rebound-by-2024-analysts-say","title":{"rendered":"Macau\u2019s economy to rebound by 2024, analysts say"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>According to Moody&#8217;s Investor Service, Macau&#8217;s economy could return to pre-pandemic levels by 2024.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<!--more-->\n\n\n\n<p>Macau.- Moody&#8217;s Investor Service has said that it believes<strong>\u00a0Macau\u2019s economy could rebound <\/strong>to\u00a0pre-Covid-19 levels <strong>by 2024<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Analysts said that although the<strong>\u00a0special administrative region\u2019s (SAR) economy has been seriously hit<\/strong>\u00a0by the Covid-19 pandemic, Macau maintains strong sovereign finances.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Moody&#8217;s has given Macau an Aa3 rating<\/strong>, which means it is subject to <strong>very low credit risk<\/strong>. It said: &#8220;The growth volatility of Macau\u2019s economy is among the highest of all rated sovereigns.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u201cBut despite the highly volatile nature of economic growth, Macao\u2019s vast fiscal and external reserves \u2014&nbsp;<strong>significantly stronger than those of similarly rated peers<\/strong>&nbsp;\u2014 and very high per capita incomes continue to support its credit profile.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>However, analysts say Macau&#8217;s recovery is highly\u00a0<strong>dependent on a full return of tourist arrivals<\/strong>, but the number of visitors is expected to remain at about 60 per cent of pre-pandemic levels through the second half of the year 2021.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><a rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/focusgn.com\/asia-pacific\/melco-ceo-says-china-is-the-most-important-market-for-macau\">Macau&#8217;s tourists<\/a>\u00a0come mainly from mainland China and Hong Kong, but currently, Macau only has a form of travel bubble with China. It requires a\u00a0<a rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/focusgn.com\/asia-pacific\/macau-reduces-quarantine-for-hong-kong-arrivals-to-14-days\">14-day quarantine<\/a>\u00a0for arrivals from Hong Kong.\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Fitch Ratings Inc has previously predicted&nbsp;<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/focusgn.com\/asia-pacific\/macaus-economy-to-rebound-by-53-per-cent-in-2021-analysts-say\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Macau\u2019s economy<\/a>&nbsp;could rebound by 53 per cent this year, helped by&nbsp;<strong>strong gaming and tourism recovery in the second half of 2021<\/strong>&nbsp;if travel restrictions between mainland China and Macau are eased in the months ahead.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/focusgn.com\/asia-pacific\/macau-starts-covid-19-vaccination-plan\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">A gradual roll-out of Covid-19 vaccination programmes<\/a>, combined with a&nbsp;<strong>quarantine-free travel bubble<\/strong>&nbsp;will also play a key role in Macau\u2019s economic recovery.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>However, Macau chief executive Ho Ian Seng has recently said<strong>&nbsp;for now there are no plans to relax restrictions on non-resident foreigners<\/strong>&nbsp;entering Macau.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Analysts have suggested Macau should include requirements in the city\u2019s gaming licence criteria to promote the diversification of\u00a0<a rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/focusgn.com\/asia-pacific\/macau-to-reconsider-citys-gaming-licence-criteria\">Macau\u2019s economy<\/a>, because it is <strong>\u201cexcessively dependent on tourism and gaming,\u201d\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>Macau visitor spending up 23.5% in Q1<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>The Census and Statistics Service has reported that the<strong>\u00a0total spending of visitors (excluding gaming expenses) increased by 23.5 per cent<\/strong>\u00a0year-on-year to MOP6.18bn in the first quarter of 2021.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Authorities also revealed<strong>\u00a0that total spending of overnight visitors rose by 48.0 per cent year-on-year\u00a0<\/strong>to MOP5.59bn, while that of same-day visitors dropped by 52.1 per cent to MOP589m.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><a rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/focusgn.com\/asia-pacific\/macau-received-165500-visitors-arrivals-over-labour-day-break\">Macau\u2019s Public Security Police<\/a>\u00a0reported that 165,500 tourists came to Macau during the Labour Day break.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>That&#8217;s<strong> a long way from 2019 levels, when Macau registered 531,000 visitors\u00a0<\/strong>arrivals during what was a four-day break in 2019 (this year the Labour Day break was extended).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><a rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/focusgn.com\/asia-pacific\/macau-ggr-hits-us563m-for-first-nine-days-of-may\">As for GGR<\/a>, Macau reached an\u00a0<strong>average daily rate of MOP500m (US$75m)\u00a0<\/strong>for the first nine days of May, including the Labour Day break.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>According to Moody&#8217;s Investor Service, Macau&#8217;s economy could return to pre-pandemic levels by 2024.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":176,"featured_media":18164,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"is_press_release":false,"is_interview":false,"is_opinion":false,"focusai_summary":"Moody's Investor Service projects Macau's economy could rebound to pre-pandemic levels by 2024, maintaining an Aa3 credit rating due to strong sovereign finances despite high growth volatility. While recovery is contingent on tourist arrivals, currently at 60% of 2019 levels, analysts suggest incorporating economic diversification requirements into gaming licenses to mitigate over-reliance on tourism and gaming.","focusai_entities":"Moody\u2019s Investor Service, Fitch Ratings Inc, Ho Ian Seng, Census and Statistics Service, Public Security Police","focusai_location":"Macau, China, Hong Kong","focusai_target_profile":"ceo_executive (0.9), regulator (0.9), compliance_legal (0.7), operator_casino (0.9), investor_analyst (1.0), supplier_vendor (0.7), journalist_researcher (0.9)","focusai_suggestions":[{"label":"Macau Diversification Impact","query":"What specific economic diversification requirements are being considered for inclusion in Macau's gaming license criteria, and what would be the projected impact on existing concessionaires' operational models and capital expenditure plans?"},{"label":"GGR Recovery Trajectory","query":"Given the current tourist arrival forecasts and GGR performance, what is the revised GGR recovery trajectory for Macau's gaming market through H2 2021 and into 2022, considering potential shifts in VIP vs. mass market segments?"}],"footnotes":""},"categories":[157,16338,158],"tags":[23906],"class_list":["post-18163","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-business-news","category-east-asia-news","category-slider-home","tag-macau-casinos"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/focusgn.com\/asia-pacific\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/18163","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/focusgn.com\/asia-pacific\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/focusgn.com\/asia-pacific\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/focusgn.com\/asia-pacific\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/176"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/focusgn.com\/asia-pacific\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=18163"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/focusgn.com\/asia-pacific\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/18163\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":18183,"href":"https:\/\/focusgn.com\/asia-pacific\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/18163\/revisions\/18183"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/focusgn.com\/asia-pacific\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/18164"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/focusgn.com\/asia-pacific\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=18163"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/focusgn.com\/asia-pacific\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=18163"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/focusgn.com\/asia-pacific\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=18163"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}